Book

Bijak J (ed.) and Contributors (2024) From Uncertainty to Policy: A Guide to Migration Scenarios. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Open Access via https://doi.org/10.4337/9781035319800. Book launch video available on https://youtu.be/rWXvcawZTfk.
 

Academic Journal Articles

Czaika M, Bohnet H, Zardo F and Bijak J (2024) European Migration Governance in the Context of Uncertainty. International Migration, 62(6): 93–110. https://doi.org/10.1111/imig.13308

Soto Nishimura A and Czaika M (2024) Exploring Migration Determinants: A Meta-Analysis of Migration Drivers and Estimates. Journal of International Migration and Integration, 25(2): 621–643. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12134-023-01091-z

Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2024) The Determinants of Refugees’ Destinations: Where do refugees locate within the EU? World Development, 177: 106533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2024.106533

Marois G, Potančoková M and González-Leonardo M (2023) Demographic and labor force impacts of future immigration flows into Europe: Does an immigrant’s region of origin matter? Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 10, 957. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-02482-4

Czaika M, Bohnet H and Zardo F (2023) Categorical and spatial interlinkages within the European migration policy mix. European Union Politics, 25: Online First. https://doi.org/10.1177/14651165231209941

Mjelva MB and Carling J (2023) Surveys on migration aspirations, plans and intentions: a comprehensive overview [Version 1: approved]. Open Research Europe, 3: 145. https://doi.org/10.12688/openreseurope.15800.1

Boissonneault M and Costa R (2023) Experts’ assessments of migration scenarios between the Middle East & North Africa and Europe. Scientific Data, 10(1), 640. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02532-1

Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2023) Expecting Brexit and UK migration: Should I go? European Economic Review, 157: 104484. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2023.104484 

Czaika M, Erdal MB and Talleraas C (2023) Exploring Europe’s external migration policy mix: On the interactions of visa, readmission, and resettlement policies, Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 49(12), 3140–3161. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369183X.2023.2198363

González-Leonardo M, Potančoková M, Yildiz D and Rowe F (2023) Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on immigration in receiving high-income countries. PLoS ONE 18(1): e0280324. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0280324

Barker E (2022) A timeline of freedom of movement in the European Economic Area [Version 3: approved]. Open Research Europe, 2: 133. https://doi.org/10.12688/openreseurope.15042.3

Czaika M, Bijak J and Prike T (2022) Migration Decision-Making and Its Key Dimensions. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science 697(1), 15–31. https://doi.org/10.1177/00027162211052233

Petropoulos F, Apiletti A, Assimakopoulos V, Babai MZ, Barrow DK, Ben Taieb S, Bergmeir Ch, Bessa RJ, Bijak J, et al. (2022) Forecasting: Theory and Practice. [Contributed sections on population and migration forecasting]. International Journal of Forecasting, 38(3), 705–871. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.11.001

Napierała J, Hilton J, Forster JJ, Carammia M and Bijak J (2022) Toward an Early Warning System for Monitoring Asylum-Related Migration Flows in Europe. International Migration Review, 56(1), 33–62. https://doi.org/10.1177/01979183211035736

 

Policy Papers and Briefs

Bijak J, Vono de Vilhena D, Potančoková M, and the QuantMig Team (2023) White Paper on Migration Uncertainty: Towards Foresight and Preparedness. Population and Policy Discussion Paper, 19, Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/discussion-papers/white-paper-migration-uncertainty

Potančoková M, Marois G and Bijak J (2023) High-Migration Events and Future Labour Force in Europe Population and Policy Brief, No. 39, Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/high-migration-events-and-future-labour-force-europe

Bijak J and Barker E (2023) As Europe builds resilient labour markets, migration can help – but will not be enough. Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/europe-builds-resilient-labour-markets-migration-can-help-will-not-be/europe-builds-resilient-labour-markets-migration-can-help-will-not-be

Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2023) Navigating uncertainty: Understanding the impact of Brexit on EU migration to the UK. Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing, No. 71. http://www.cpc.ac.uk/docs/2023_PB71_Navigating_uncertainty_Understanding_the_impact_of_Brexit.pdf

Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2023) Seeking asylum in Europe: Where do people go and why? Centre for Population Change Policy Briefing, No. 69. http://www.cpc.ac.uk/docs/2023_PB69_Seeking_asylum_in_Europe_where_do_people_go_and_why.pdf

Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2022) Asylum seekers’ choice of country is mostly driven by personal networks, not economy Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/asylum-seekers-choice-country-mostly-driven-personal-networks-not-economy

Anger S, Bijak J, Bosch P, Czaika M, de Groot D, Miyar Busto M and Wahba J (2022) Attracting Skills and Talent to the EU. What should we focus on? Population and Policy Brief, No. 37. Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/attracting-skills-and-talent-eu

Wahba J (2022) Can the EU Attract Skills and Talent? Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/can-eu-attract-skills-and-talent

Barker E, Bijak J, Di Iasio V and Wahba J (2022) Why Should We Care about Uncertainty in Migration Flows? Reasons and Challenges from an Economics Perspective. Population and Policy Brief, No. 35 Population Europe. https://www.population-europe.eu/index.php/research/policy-briefs/why-should-we-care-about-uncertainty-migration-flows

Bijak J (2021) Migration Uncertainty: Feature, not a Bug. Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/migration-uncertainty-feature-not-bug

Bijak J, Fähnrich B, Leboeuf L and Vono de Vilhena D (2021) Strengthening evidence-informed policymaking on migration. Population and Policy Brief, No. 32. Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/strengthening-evidence-informed-policymaking-migration

Barker E and Bijak J (2021) Can One Migration Model Fit All? Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/can-one-migration-model-fit-all  

Vono de Vilhena D and Bijak J (2021) Uncertainty in Future Migration Flows: Where Does It Come From? Population and Policy Brief, No. 29. Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/uncertainty-future-migration-flows-where-does-it-come

Czaika M and Bijak J (2020) Five Facts Everybody Should Know Before Discussing Future Migration Trends. Population Europe Policy Insight. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-insights/five-facts-everybody-should-know-discussing-future-migration-trends   

Bijak J, Czaika M, ed. by D Vono de Vilhena (2020) How Can Europe Better Prepare for Future Migration Movements? Understanding and addressing the root causes of displacements. Population and Policy Brief, No. 26. Population Europe. https://population-europe.eu/research/policy-briefs/how-can-europe-better-prepare-future-migration-movements 

 

Other Publications

Bijak J, Czaika M, Potančoková M, Vono de Vilhena D and the QuantMig Team (2024) New Perspectives for Migration Foresight and Preparedness: Insights from the QuantMig Project. Migration Policy Practice, Vol. XIII (1), 34–40 https://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/pub2023-073-el-mpp-50-3rd-issue.pdf

Wahba J and Di Iasio V (2023) Hotels and employment aren’t major ‘pull factors’ for refugees – here’s what really draws people to move. The Conversation, 25 August 2023. https://theconversation.com/hotels-and-employment-arent-major-pull-factors-for-refugees-heres-what-really-draws-people-to-move-211796

Carling J (2021) What Makes People Want to Migrate? One Chart Sums It Up. The Startup, 3 February 2021. https://medium.com/swlh/what-makes-people-want-to-migrate-b91ad7d9ddb0

Bijak J and Czaika M (2020) Black swans and grey rhinos: Migration policy under uncertainty. Migration Policy Practice, Vol. X (4), 14–20 https://publications.iom.int/system/files/pdf/mpp-43.pdf